Frequently Asked

Live IPL 2026 playoff odds. After every completed match the season is replayed, the remaining fixtures are simulated 200,000 times, and each team gets an updated chance of finishing in the top 4 (and top 2).

Each remaining match is decided by a head-to-head model that weighs both teams' strength. A margin is sampled and the running NRR updates. Across 200,000 runs, the share of seasons where each team finishes in the top 4 settles into a stable probability.

Top 4 is qualification. Finish in the top four on the points table and you're in the playoffs. Top 2 is the bonus: the top two sides go straight to Qualifier 1, while teams 3 and 4 have to win the Eliminator first. Top 2 is a subset of Top 4, so a team's Top 2 odds are never higher than its Top 4 odds.

Every team, sorted by points and NRR, with current Top 4 and Top 2 probabilities and the change since the previous match. The arrow next to a number shows whether the last result helped or hurt that team's playoff push.

Top 4 qualification odds for every team, plotted match by match from match 1 to today. The five teams in the playoff conversation are highlighted in their colours; the rest are faded so the chart stays readable.

Pick your side and the page reframes the standings around them. You get:

• Leverage: for each remaining match, how much your team's Top 4 odds swing on a win vs a loss.
• Other-match swings: which fixtures matter even when your team isn't playing, and who you should be supporting.
• Recent formand a points-table breakdown from your team's perspective.

Your pick is saved locally, so the page goes straight to your team next time.

Every remaining fixture is a card. Tap the team you think will win and the simulator re-runs the model with that result locked in. You can lock as many or as few as you like.

The simulator runs in your browser through a worker, so locking a result updates the odds in a fraction of a second. You pick the winner; the margin (and therefore the NRR effect) is still sampled.

The rest of the season is played out 200,000 times. Each match is decided randomly, weighted by how strong each side is, so the favourite wins more often than the underdog. The probability of finishing in the top 4 is the share of those 200,000 seasons where the team did.

NRR is the tiebreaker, and ties happen often at the bubble. For every simulated match a margin is sampled, both sides' running totals (runs scored and overs faced) are updated, and NRR is recomputed the way the league does it.

A completed No Result gives both teams a point and leaves NRR untouched, same as the rules. The simulator only models wins and losses for future fixtures.

Because the league moves around them. A rival dropping points makes your team's path easier; two teams above winning widens the gap. The JOURNEY chart and the MY TEAM page both show this match by match.

NRR tiebreakers can swing late, a team can win out and still miss out if others win bigger, and the model gives every side a real (if small) chance in every game. Anything between roughly 1% and 99% means it isn't decided yet.

After every completed match. The orange dot at the top of each page is a live indicator: if it's pulsing, the page is showing the latest state of the league.

Yes. Set up your picks on the SIMULATOR page and hit the Share button at the top. It copies a link with all your locked results in the URL, so anyone who opens it sees the same odds.